Insights
Digital BusinessMay 6, 20263 min read

IHSG Set to Rally Further: Why RAJA and These 2 Stocks are Today's Top Picks

The Indonesian stock market is showing remarkable resilience as the Jakarta Composite Index (IHSG) looks poised to extend its winning streak this Wednesday. Following a strong performance in the previous session, market analysts are optimistic that the index will navigate the 7,000 to 7,100 range with ease. This bullish sentiment isn't just coming out of thin air; it is backed by solid macroeconomic data and a positive spillover effect from global markets.

Technical Outlook and the Resistance Challenge

According to the latest morning research from BRI Danareksa Sekuritas, the IHSG still has the technical fuel to climb higher, albeit with some caution regarding limited upside. The immediate resistance targets are pegged between the 7,100 and 7,160 levels. The current market euphoria is largely driven by domestic economic data that blew past analyst expectations. In this environment, large-cap banking stocks and major conglomerate entities are expected to be the primary engines driving the index forward.

The GDP Catalyst: Indonesia's Economic Engine Roars

The momentum we are seeing today is a direct reflection of yesterday’s stellar closing. The market was electrified by the release of Indonesia's GDP growth figures for the first quarter of 2026, which came in at a staggering 5.61%. This marks the fastest growth rate since the third quarter of 2022 and significantly outperformed the market consensus of 5.30%. This data confirms that Indonesia’s economic foundation remains incredibly robust, providing a safety net for investors.

Global Winds: Wall Street and Europe

It is not just internal strength driving the local bourse. The IHSG is also catching a tailwind from Wall Street's overnight rally. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 0.73%, while the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite surged by 0.81% and 1.03% respectively. While European markets showed mixed results—with the FTSE 100 facing some pressure—the overall global sentiment remains tilted toward the bulls, providing a conducive environment for Indonesian equities.

Top Stock Recommendations: RAJA, PADI, and GZCO

For investors looking for specific opportunities, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas has highlighted three stocks that deserve a spot on your watchlist today. First on the list is RAJA, with a projected price target ranging from Rp 4,670 to Rp 5,025. Following closely is PADI, with a target of Rp 130 to Rp 139, and GZCO, which is expected to reach the Rp 234 to Rp 242 range. These picks represent tactical plays in a market that is increasingly favoring stocks with strong momentum.

Analyzing the Previous Session’s Performance

Looking back at yesterday's close, the IHSG surged by 85.16 points or 1.22%, settling at 7,057. Interestingly, this rise occurred despite a net foreign sell-off totaling Rp 518.38 billion. Foreign investors were seen offloading shares in major names like BMRI (Rp 342.20 billion), EMAS (Rp 169.25 billion), and BBCA (Rp 144.82 billion). However, domestic buying power and the performance of conglomerate-owned stocks more than compensated for this exit.

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The 'Prajogo Pangestu' Effect and Sector Leaders

A significant portion of the recent gains can be attributed to the 'Prajogo Pangestu' group of companies. Stocks like BRPT and TPIA hit their upper-limit auto reject (ARA) levels, signaling intense buying pressure. Other notable performers included CDIA, which jumped 13.33%, CUAN rising 12.07%, and BREN gaining 2.83%. Furthermore, the 'Big Four' banks (BBRI, BBCA, BMRI, and BBNI) continued to provide the necessary stability for the index. Early movers such as ENZO, ABDA, KONI, and BOBA also posted double-digit gains, showcasing a broad-based appetite for risk among local traders.

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